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Afghanistan

If North Waziristan is a Lawless Frontier, Then Go Get bin Laden!

Re: Associated Press: US: Osama bin Laden Slips Into Afghanistan Still – News – Air America, By Robert Burns

Osama bin Laden

WASHINGTON (AP) — Al-Qaida leader Osama bin Laden may periodically slip back into Afghanistan from his remote hideout in neighboring Pakistan, a senior White House official says, adding a new twist to the mystery of the elusive terrorist’s whereabouts.

President Barack Obama’s national security adviser, James Jones, said bin Laden, believed hiding mainly in a rugged area of western Pakistan, may be spending some time in Afghanistan, where he was based while plotting the Sept. 11 attacks on the United States.

But Obama’s Pentagon chief, Robert Gates, said the U.S. has lacked good intelligence on bin Laden for a long time — “I think it has been years” — and did not confirm that he’d slipped into Afghanistan.

First of all, it is welcome news that those in the highest levels are talking about the whereabouts of bin Laden, the most notorious criminal of our times. I think that the reason they have had, in Gate’s opinion, no good intelligence on OBL is because Bush didn’t want to capture him in the first place. The Bush business connections* to the bin Laden family (who disowned OBL back in the 1990’s) and to the royal Saudi family would have been permanently damaged if OBL had been captured when our troops had a chance. Now? Bush’s wealth and influence, and their past business dealings with foreign enemies is fading into the pages of history.

The Bush’s are irrelevant to the hunt for OBL now and cannot influence state business. Burns also spoke with President Barack Obama’s national security adviser, James Jones.

Jones, a retired Marine general, stressed the urgency of targeting bin Laden and spoke of a renewed campaign to capture or kill him.

Asked on CNN’s “State of the Union” whether the administration has reliable intelligence on bin Laden’s whereabouts, Jones replied, “The best estimate is that he is somewhere in North Waziristan, sometimes on the Pakistani side of the border, sometimes on the Afghan side of the border.”

(snippet) Gates told ABC’s “This Week” that “we don’t know for a fact where Osama bin Laden is,” although he agreed that his likely location is North Waziristan.

That’s part of the loosely governed Federally Administered Tribal Areas of northwest Pakistan where the border with Afghanistan is largely unrecognized and unmarked. There is little Pakistani government or military control in this remote region, and militants affiliated with al-Qaida can move freely across the frontier into Afghanistan.

(snippet) Gates said he does not blame a lack of Pakistani cooperation for the absence of intelligence on bin Laden.

“No, I think it’s because if, as we suspect, he is in North Waziristan, it is an area that the Pakistani government has not had a presence in, in quite some time,” Gates said, adding that although the Pakistani government has its own priorities, any pressure it brings on the Taliban is helpful because it is in league with al-Qaida.

Since the Pakistani government has no control, and no obvious interest in controlling North Waziristan, then what is keeping us from moving in and out of that area of Pakistan in similar fashion?

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*I don’t like using Wikipedia as a credible source because the right-wing nut-jobs comb through controversial topics and then re-write the articles to slant them politically to protect their agenda. In this case they have managed to claim that the business connections between the bin Laden family and the Bush family are “alleged”. But, Wikipedia here has a concise account of the connections. Please ignore the implications that those connections are somehow not substantiated. Do your own research.

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Republicans Blur the Withdrawal Plan with Childish Responses

Re: Obama Got It Right – The Daily Beast, by Leslie H. Gelb

Senator John McCain (R-AZ), the guy who came in second out of two in the Presidential race in 2008, is pounding the pulpit about what he considers an “arbitrary” withdrawal date from Afghanistan. 

But McCain, speaking with “CBS Evening News” anchor Katie Couric following Mr. Obama’s speech on Afghan strategy, said repeatedly that he disagrees with what he called “an arbitrary date for withdrawal.” The Vietnam veteran often used the same phrase in reference to the war in Iraq, including during his campaign against Obama for the presidency last year.
 
“Success is what dictates dates for withdrawal and if we don’t have that success and we only set an arbitrary date, it emboldens our enemies and dispirits our friends,” McCain said. (spelling corrected)

Here’s my reply to McCain: Grow up.

Success usually doesn’t dictate dates for withdrawal. Success only tempts an invading country to linger on, like the Hundred Years War, or like in Iraq. This time will be no different. It’s usually the lack of success that has dictated withdrawal. Remember Napoleon’s invasion of Russia? It was probably the least successful campaign in the History of the World and the French Army was faced with the choice of either withdraw or perish. The same thing happened to Germany in World War II, withdraw from Russia or loose the whole war. The 18 month timeline that Obama outlined in his speech would only serve as a starting point for withdrawal, not the end date.

I’m not saying that we must withdraw with our tails between our legs, I’m saying that there are different visions of victory other than John McCain’s archetypical version of military success as pushing a wind blown flag onto a mount at Iwo Jima. If McCain could come back down to earth for a few minutes, he could easily see that that type of victory isn’t going to be the reality in Afghanistan, as it was certainly not the reality in Iraq. Al Qaeda is not going to wave a little white flag in surrender. For Afghanistan to be Taliban/al Qaeda-free it is the Afghans themselves who will have to gain confidence enough to lift up their own government. Our enemy, al Qaeda, will not be so embolden if they are faced with an Afghani government that stands strong against them.

I’m also saying that I support President Obama’s idea that victory can be met if we satisfy our own national interests and leave Afghanistan in better shape than we found them both militarily and economically without it costing us an arm and a leg. Success can be measured in many ways, but better is better.

The following is a snippet from a blog in The Daily Beast today by Leslie H. Gelb called Obama Got It Right which outlines a few things that could help bring about the “victory” in Afghanistan that McCain so desires:

Obama’s middle course at least offers some promise of success—and perhaps more importantly, gives Afghans a more than decent chance to get their act together. And if they do, they need not fear American abandonment. As I understand the president’s policy, he would continue to fully support a continuing Afghan effort after most American troops are withdrawn at some indefinite point in the future—with money, arms, training, intelligence, and logistics—if Afghans shape up their government and demonstrate a genuine willingness to fight.

What can be done to strengthen the odds for the Afghans?

First, stand up to the baloney being served by many Republicans. They’re trying to create the impression that Obama has committed to withdrawing all American forces in a year or two. In fact, all he’s said is that he would “begin” withdrawals in July 2011, and that the pace of further withdrawals would depend on “circumstances.” That is not a timetable for withdrawals. It is merely the beginning of an unspecified process of withdrawing most U.S. forces from combat. It is the duty of TV anchors and journalists to point out that distortion every single time it is uttered. It is un-American and unpatriotic to repeat such lies. It undermines the very confidence the Afghans must have to shoulder the burdens they must bear. Unless rebutted, these Republicans will foster the very defeat in Afghanistan which they insist will destroy American security. False Republican charges of an Obama pullout are already rattling Afghans and Pakistanis—and causing policy problems for the future.

Second, Defense Secretary Robert Gates and America’s top military brass, including especially Generals Stanley McChrystal and David Petraeus—the NATO commander in Afghanistan and the overall U.S. regional commander, respectively—should clearly state their full support for the president’s policy. Anything less than that will create self-defeating suspicions and doubts about the policy from the outset. They got almost everything they asked for, and faster than they requested or expected. And while no one talks about it, they also have more than 100,000 defense contractors at work in Afghanistan right now. Plus, they’ve been given thousands of other military personnel to provide various services in Afghanistan that don’t count against the presidentially approved totals.

Third, America’s great Pakistani friends have to effectively shut down the Taliban and al Qaeda safe havens in Pakistan. Otherwise, no level of U.S. forces can stabilize the situation in Afghanistan. Washington is giving the Paks billions of dollars in economic aid; America is their life line for arms and intelligence as well. They can’t keep telling us to fight in Afghanistan and yet at the same time help the Taliban kill us there. It’s outrageous. Even China and Russia shouldn’t stand in America’s way on this. They’ve got as much to worry about from these Taliban and al Qaeda terrorists as Americans do. Also, conservatives and liberals should be able to join hands to send a strong message to Islamabad as well. Mr. Obama and the United States can use some nonpartisan help here.

Finally, at West Point, Mr. Obama talked to Americans as grownups. Wouldn’t it be nice if some considered responding as adults—as Americans first and political nutjobs and self-serving pols second? Obama put Afghanistan into a larger and more meaningful context than the affairs of one country alone. “As president,” he said, “I refuse to set goals that go beyond our responsibility, our means, or our interests. And I must weigh all of the challenges that our nation faces. I do not have the luxury of committing to just one. Indeed, I am mindful of the words of President Eisenhower, who—in discussing our national security—said, ‘Each proposal must be weighed in the light of a broader consideration: the need to maintain balance in and among national programs.’” Washington is confronting six other actual and potential crises around the world, in addition to an economic crisis at home. Afghanistan ranks near the bottom of that list, and we shouldn’t forget it.

Most important of all, Obama reminded us, is the American economy. “[We have failed],” he said, “to appreciate the connection between our national security and our economy… So we simply cannot afford to ignore the price of these wars.” He continued: “But as we end the war in Iraq and transition to Afghan responsibility, we must rebuild our strength here at home. Our prosperity provides a foundation for our power. It pays for our military. It underwrites our diplomacy.”

The economy is another thing that Bush lied about about as he pursued an illegal war with Iraq, then the long illegal occupation of that country by keeping the true cost of the Iraq war off the books. He borrowed money from China and other places until it nearly bankrupted our government. For the first time in history, no efforts were made to sacrifice to pay for the war. It was all done on the credit card. We are now suffering from that irresponsibility.

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Today’s GOP is Smaller than Ever, Screams to Remain Relevant

Re: Today’s GOP is both united and divided – washingtonpost.com, By Jon Cohen and Dan Balz, Washington Post Staff Writer
Monday, November 30, 2009

The Republican rank and file is largely in sync with GOP lawmakers in their staunch opposition to efforts by President Obama and Democrats to enact major health-care legislation, but a new Washington Post poll also reveals deep dissatisfaction among GOP voters with the party’s leadership as well as ideological and generational differences that may prove big obstacles to the party’s plans for reclaiming power.

Republicans and GOP-leaning independents are overwhelmingly negative about Obama and the Democratic Party more broadly, with nearly all dissatisfied with the administration’s policies and almost half saying they are “angry” about them. About three-quarters have a more basic complaint, saying Obama does not stand for “traditional American values.” More than eight in 10 say there is no chance they would support his reelection.

My question is this, why do journalists and TV pundits talk about the Republican Party as if it were just as large and relevant as the Democratic Party? There is only one place in this entire article that mentions how small the GOP has become. It is in the middle of the second page (online) and surrounded by parentheses as if it were something injected as a side note or just for your information:

Almost three-quarters of Republicans and GOP-leaners identify themselves as “conservative” on most issues, up sharply from a couple of years ago. (In some part, the rise is attributable to fewer Americans calling themselves Republicans; with an average of just 22 percent in Post polls this year saying so, the lowest number in polls since 1981.)

Oh by the way, 78% of voting Americans are NOT Republicans.

But the right-wing journalists insist that what they do or what they say is just as relevant as the majority opinion without any disclaimer about just how many of them there are. The news media cover the small, but loud, tea-bag protests as if they were just springing up everywhere as a natural occurrence automatically because of the crazy hyperbole that Obama is a socialist or that their grandma has to die. The reporters proudly over-estimate the numbers of the crowd and unapologetically talk about the insane posters and signs as if they had something legitimate to say. And if you are thinking that, well, the squeaky wheel gets the grease, then just think back to when there were massive marches and demonstrations to end the war in Iraq. That particular loudly squeaking wheel got no grease at all.

Now, the Washington Post interviews a few right-wing freaks in Colorado and suddenly their opinion is supposed to be some sort of new, awesome truth, when if fact, it is the minority opinion.

In the Colorado focus groups, Republican voters expressed strong concerns about the first year of the Obama presidency. Pam Hyde, 53, who works at an elementary school, said new government spending worries her. “We’ll never recover from that,” she said. “I can’t imaging recouping the money that he’s proposing to spend. Unbelievable.”

As a matter of comparison, did the interviewer ask her if she was aware that the cost of war in Iraq and Afghanistan this year would almost double the price of the health care bill for one year? No. Did he ask her if she was aware that we spend ten times the amount of the health care reform on the Defense Department every year? No. The interviewer let her words just hang out there as if they meant something. Did the interviewer ask if she was aware that a third of the stimulus bill was in the form of tax cuts for the middle class? Sadly, no.

What the right wing discomfort boils down to is that there is a black Democrat in the White House. There is nothing more substantial being said or inferred. It is pure Bracknophobia, nothing else.

In the immortal words of The Daily Show’s Jon Stewart, “you lost, it’s supposed to taste like a sh*t taco”. (This quote is at the 3:31 mark.)

The Daily Show With Jon Stewart Mon – Thurs 11p / 10c
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More and more conservatives are leaning toward the hard right-wing fringe, being upset about Obama, and they are floundering, desperately, to be heard. Of Republicans:

On fiscal issues, the percentage calling themselves conservative has soared to more than eight in 10. More striking is that a majority considers themselves to be “very conservative” on fiscal issues, up about 20 points in two years. On social issues, two-thirds of Republicans say they are conservative, and about a third of Republicans say they are very conservative. Overall, about two in 10 are both fiscally conservative and moderate-to-liberal on social issues.

Let them trend to the right. This is the best thing to ever happen to the Democratic Party, well, that and Sarah Palin.

[Palin1.jpg]

Caricature of Sarah Palin

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